2016 MDL to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

703.4446 IDR

YEARLY LOW

650.4991 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

669.0476 IDR

2016 MDL to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 703.4446. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 27, dropping to 650.4991.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 52.9455 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 682.4683 to the December average rate of 666.6231, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 703.4446 was down 13.00% compared to the 2015 peak of 808.5266, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,517,223 IDR

2015 Average 3,573,355 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 3,252,495 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 264,727.64 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

685.1319

653.1696

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 674.3949, compared to 663.7002 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.6947 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 674.3949

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 663.7002

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 31.3257 IDR (High: 703.4446 / Low: 672.1189). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.9937 IDR (High: 666.6768 / Low: 659.6832).

January Spread (Volatile) ±31.3257

July Spread (Stable) ±6.9937

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 12.1676 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -12.1676

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 682.4683) against the same month in 2015 (average: 756.7448), the exchange rate shifted by -74.2765 (-9.82%).

2016 Avg (January) 682.4683

2015 Avg (January) 756.7448

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	703.4446	672.1189	682.4683
February	680.7004	666.6632	673.4499
March	680.7907	655.2954	666.2022
April	675.1441	667.6362	670.5855
May	685.1567	663.2157	678.0860
June	686.9355	665.1551	675.5774
July	666.6768	659.6832	663.4098
August	672.8592	663.2337	667.3243
September	672.5974	656.3365	664.9091
October	663.1889	650.4991	655.8331
November	670.7306	651.8362	664.1019
December	677.7587	658.3220	666.6231