YEARLY HIGH
904.4968 IDR
YEARLY LOW
782.4220 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
842.9310 IDR

2018 MDL to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 904.4968. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 782.4220.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 122.0748 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 791.3174 to the December average rate of 845.3507, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 904.4968 was up 13.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 795.6301, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,522,484 IDR
2017 Average 3,637,607 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 3,912,110 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 610,374.21 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

903.1438
781.1514
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 824.3352, compared to 861.5269 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 37.1917 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 824.3352
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 861.5269

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 48.4950 IDR (High: 883.0571 / Low: 834.5622). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.3681 IDR (High: 841.7967 / Low: 834.4286).

November Spread (Volatile) ±48.4950
April Spread (Stable) ±7.3681

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 35.6045 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -35.6045

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 892.9778) against the same month in 2017 (average: 776.3149), the exchange rate shifted by +116.6629 (+15.03%).

2018 Avg (October) 892.9778
2017 Avg (October) 776.3149

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 803.7323 782.4220 791.3174
February 822.5128 796.6794 814.5741
March 836.8253 822.0234 830.5052
April 841.7967 834.4286 839.1030
May 851.2605 818.0441 841.6019
June 841.6933 818.4155 828.9095
July 863.3124 841.9553 854.3766
August 867.3864 853.2798 861.8431
September 865.7722 852.5660 857.2399
October 904.4968 860.6741 892.9778
November 883.0571 834.5622 857.3732
December 859.8611 833.4120 845.3507