2014 MDL to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

7.6826 NPR

YEARLY LOW

6.4561 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.9914 NPR

2014 MDL to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 7.6826. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 6.4561.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2265 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5400 to the December average rate of 6.5092, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 7.6826 was down 8.41% compared to the 2013 peak of 8.3878, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,413 NPR

2013 Average 37,323 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 32,281 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,132.53 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

7.6431

6.4061

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.2151, compared to 6.7677 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4474 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.2151

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.7677

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was May, with a trading range of 0.3567 NPR (High: 7.2007 / Low: 6.8441). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0883 NPR (High: 6.9134 / Low: 6.8250).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.3567

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0883

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2342 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2342

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 7.5400) against the same month in 2013 (average: 7.1567), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3834 (+5.36%).

2014 Avg (January) 7.5400

2013 Avg (January) 7.1567

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	7.6826	7.4344	7.5400
February	7.4516	7.2563	7.3777
March	7.3845	7.1400	7.2733
April	7.3032	7.1491	7.2149
May	7.2007	6.8441	7.0165
June	6.9134	6.8250	6.8685
July	6.9565	6.8448	6.8905
August	7.1730	6.9339	7.0538
September	6.9330	6.7565	6.8196
October	6.7831	6.6692	6.7148
November	6.7271	6.5472	6.6183
December	6.6209	6.4561	6.5092