YEARLY HIGH
7.0477 NPR
YEARLY LOW
5.9157 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.5085 NPR

2018 MDL to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 7.0477. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 5.9157.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1321 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0071 to the December average rate of 6.5818, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.0477 was up 16.83% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.0325, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 35,239 NPR
2017 Average 28,291 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 29,578 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,660.36 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.0154
5.9155
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2918, compared to 6.7251 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4334 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2918
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.7251

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.3691 NPR (High: 6.8605 / Low: 6.4915). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1133 NPR (High: 6.3405 / Low: 6.2273).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3691
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1133

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2048 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2048

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 6.9237) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.9796), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9441 (+15.79%).

2018 Avg (October) 6.9237
2017 Avg (October) 5.9796

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0995 5.9157 6.0071
February 6.2507 6.0439 6.1773
March 6.3405 6.2273 6.2792
April 6.4856 6.2962 6.3871
May 6.5831 6.3487 6.4732
June 6.5008 6.3338 6.4266
July 6.6373 6.5007 6.5754
August 6.7732 6.5919 6.6911
September 6.9420 6.7719 6.8599
October 7.0477 6.8228 6.9237
November 6.8605 6.4915 6.7189
December 6.7074 6.4684 6.5818