YEARLY HIGH
5.5235 NPR
YEARLY LOW
5.1827 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4045 NPR

2016 MDL to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 24, valuing the pair at 5.5235. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 5.1827.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3407 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2962 to the December average rate of 5.3956, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.5235 was down 14.93% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.4926, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,617 NPR
2015 Average 27,404 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 25,914 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,703.74 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.4600
5.2813
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4030, compared to 5.4060 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0030 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4030
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4060

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1957 NPR (High: 5.3784 / Low: 5.1827). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0424 NPR (High: 5.4544 / Low: 5.4119).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1957
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0424

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0378 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0378

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 5.4451) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.5266), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0815 (-1.48%).

2016 Avg (June) 5.4451
2015 Avg (June) 5.5266

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.3784 5.1827 5.2962
February 5.5008 5.3439 5.4383
March 5.4567 5.3756 5.4180
April 5.4392 5.3778 5.4148
May 5.4327 5.3596 5.4053
June 5.5235 5.4030 5.4451
July 5.4544 5.4119 5.4370
August 5.4519 5.4067 5.4290
September 5.4325 5.3846 5.4111
October 5.4088 5.3284 5.3734
November 5.4312 5.3362 5.3898
December 5.4920 5.3533 5.3956