YEARLY HIGH
6.7472 NPR
YEARLY LOW
6.0900 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.4284 NPR

2019 MDL to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 6.7472. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 3, dropping to 6.0900.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6572 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5996 to the December average rate of 6.5973, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.7472 was down 4.26% compared to the 2018 peak of 7.0477, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,736 NPR
2018 Average 32,551 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 30,450 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,286.12 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

6.7104
6.0782
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.3977, compared to 6.4590 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0613 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.3977
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.4590

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.3761 NPR (High: 6.5767 / Low: 6.2006). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0815 NPR (High: 6.1715 / Low: 6.0900).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3761
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0815

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1834 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1834

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 6.6578) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.1773), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4804 (+7.78%).

2019 Avg (February) 6.6578
2018 Avg (February) 6.1773

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.6797 6.4415 6.5996
February 6.7472 6.5908 6.6578
March 6.6514 6.3579 6.4744
April 6.3992 6.2183 6.3010
May 6.3074 6.1300 6.2228
June 6.1715 6.0900 6.1309
July 6.3115 6.1056 6.2116
August 6.5767 6.2006 6.4353
September 6.5352 6.3636 6.4387
October 6.5842 6.4001 6.5076
November 6.6341 6.4955 6.5638
December 6.6578 6.5544 6.5973