YEARLY HIGH
0.3587 CDF
YEARLY LOW
0.2800 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3046 CDF

2016 MGA to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MGA to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 0.3587. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 11, dropping to 0.2800.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0786 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2886 to the December average rate of 0.3493, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3587 was down 0.11% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3591, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,793 CDF
2015 Average 1,499 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 1,400 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 393.17 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3555
0.2817
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2901, compared to 0.3192 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0292 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2901
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3192

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0654 CDF (High: 0.3464 / Low: 0.2811). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0033 CDF (High: 0.2934 / Low: 0.2901).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0654
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0033

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0144 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0144

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.3493) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2889), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0605 (+20.93%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.3493
2015 Avg (December) 0.2889

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2900 0.2866 0.2886
February 0.2953 0.2884 0.2914
March 0.2917 0.2851 0.2891
April 0.2934 0.2901 0.2915
May 0.2964 0.2852 0.2919
June 0.2958 0.2800 0.2879
July 0.3328 0.2927 0.3095
August 0.3304 0.3204 0.3235
September 0.3228 0.3156 0.3201
October 0.3153 0.2988 0.3057
November 0.3464 0.2811 0.3071
December 0.3587 0.3415 0.3493