YEARLY HIGH
0.5267 CDF
YEARLY LOW
0.4372 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4854 CDF

2018 MGA to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MGA to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 8, valuing the pair at 0.5267. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 1, dropping to 0.4372.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0895 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4938 to the December average rate of 0.4579, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.5267 was down 6.40% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5627, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,634 CDF
2017 Average 2,342 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 2,186 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 447.49 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5196
0.4450
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4989, compared to 0.4719 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0270 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4989
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4719

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0317 CDF (High: 0.4690 / Low: 0.4372). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0087 CDF (High: 0.4959 / Low: 0.4872).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0317
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0087

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0158 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0158

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 0.5134) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4175), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0959 (+22.97%).

2018 Avg (March) 0.5134
2017 Avg (March) 0.4175

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5005 0.4794 0.4938
February 0.5168 0.4974 0.5083
March 0.5267 0.5022 0.5134
April 0.5050 0.4959 0.5021
May 0.5011 0.4852 0.4955
June 0.4878 0.4739 0.4803
July 0.5009 0.4760 0.4847
August 0.4959 0.4872 0.4918
September 0.4922 0.4731 0.4807
October 0.4753 0.4601 0.4650
November 0.4614 0.4425 0.4512
December 0.4690 0.4372 0.4579