2011 MGA to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.5227 IDR

YEARLY LOW

4.0601 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.3446 IDR

2011 MGA to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MGA to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 21, valuing the pair at 4.5227. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 4.0601.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4626 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3242 to the December average rate of 4.2388, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 4.5227 was down 5.72% compared to the 2010 peak of 4.7971, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,614 IDR

2010 Average 21,710 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 20,301 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,312.96 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

4.4313

4.2213

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3793, compared to 4.3100 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0692 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3793

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3100

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.3055 IDR (High: 4.4686 / Low: 4.1631). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0648 IDR (High: 4.4452 / Low: 4.3805).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.3055

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0648

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1344 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1344

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 4.3800) against the same month in 2010 (average: 4.4461), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0661 (-1.49%).

2011 Avg (September) 4.3800

2010 Avg (September) 4.4461

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4.4304	4.1789	4.3242
February	4.4452	4.3805	4.4106
March	4.4307	4.3225	4.3693
April	4.4436	4.3237	4.3905
May	4.4109	4.3131	4.3671
June	4.4518	4.3751	4.4138
July	4.4308	4.2929	4.3589
August	4.4168	4.2885	4.3617
September	4.5227	4.2869	4.3800
October	4.4686	4.1631	4.2456
November	4.3804	4.2247	4.2751
December	4.3501	4.0601	4.2388