YEARLY HIGH
5.7528 IDR
YEARLY LOW
3.7285 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8942 IDR

2019 MGA to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MGA to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 5.7528. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 17, dropping to 3.7285.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0243 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9774 to the December average rate of 3.9000, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5.7528 was up 28.40% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.4804, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,764 IDR
2018 Average 21,207 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 18,642 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,121.61 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.0392
3.7412
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9525, compared to 3.8360 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1165 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9525
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8360

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 1.9963 IDR (High: 5.7528 / Low: 3.7565). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0840 IDR (High: 3.9497 / Low: 3.8657).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.9963
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0840

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1017 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1017

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 3.9000) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.0891), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1890 (-4.62%).

2019 Avg (December) 3.9000
2018 Avg (December) 4.0891

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1304 3.8786 3.9774
February 4.0320 3.8760 3.9676
March 4.0843 3.9721 4.0144
April 3.9610 3.8724 3.9127
May 3.9972 3.9049 3.9413
June 3.9497 3.8657 3.9013
July 3.8972 3.8067 3.8584
August 3.8985 3.7702 3.8558
September 3.8247 3.7285 3.7660
October 3.8822 3.7855 3.8268
November 3.9042 3.7479 3.8087
December 5.7528 3.7565 3.9000