YEARLY HIGH
4.4804 IDR
YEARLY LOW
3.8806 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2412 IDR

2018 MGA to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MGA to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 8, valuing the pair at 4.4804. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 3.8806.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5998 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1359 to the December average rate of 4.0891, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.4804 was down 2.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.5983, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,402 IDR
2017 Average 21,446 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 19,403 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,999.03 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.3976
4.0493
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2583, compared to 4.2240 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0343 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2583
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2240

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.3427 IDR (High: 4.2918 / Low: 3.9492). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0588 IDR (High: 4.3617 / Low: 4.3029).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3427
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0588

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2595 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2595

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 4.3686) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.1901), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1785 (+4.26%).

2018 Avg (March) 4.3686
2017 Avg (March) 4.1901

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1803 4.1015 4.1359
February 4.3915 4.1642 4.2865
March 4.4804 4.2791 4.3686
April 4.3383 4.2326 4.2916
May 4.3659 4.1875 4.3077
June 4.2890 4.0932 4.1597
July 4.3560 4.1962 4.2702
August 4.3617 4.3029 4.3334
September 4.3110 4.1860 4.2350
October 4.4064 4.2431 4.3378
November 4.2918 3.9492 4.0784
December 4.1861 3.8806 4.0891