YEARLY HIGH
4.8491 IDR
YEARLY LOW
3.9676 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3280 IDR

2015 MGA to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MGA to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 4.8491. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 2, dropping to 3.9676.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8815 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7213 to the December average rate of 4.3130, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 4.8491 was down 10.68% compared to the 2014 peak of 5.4289, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,246 IDR
2014 Average 24,055 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 19,838 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,407.66 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

4.7861
4.0087
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3780, compared to 4.2780 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1000 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3780
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2780

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.4035 IDR (High: 4.8491 / Low: 4.4456). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1122 IDR (High: 4.2338 / Low: 4.1216).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4035
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1122

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2271 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2271

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 4.7213) against the same month in 2014 (average: 5.3451), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6238 (-11.67%).

2015 Avg (January) 4.7213
2014 Avg (January) 5.3451

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8491 4.4456 4.7213
February 4.6334 4.4806 4.5220
March 4.5409 4.2746 4.4041
April 4.3034 4.1423 4.2128
May 4.3362 4.1350 4.2210
June 4.4473 4.1130 4.1866
July 4.1891 3.9908 4.0735
August 4.2923 3.9676 4.1594
September 4.6607 4.2730 4.5394
October 4.5559 4.1740 4.4047
November 4.2338 4.1216 4.1777
December 4.4074 4.2185 4.3130