YEARLY HIGH
1.5405 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.3849 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4370 UGX

2014 MNT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MNT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.5405. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 15, dropping to 1.3849.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1556 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4788 to the December average rate of 1.4718, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.5405 was down 21.37% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.9592, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MNT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,703 UGX
2013 Average 8,619 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,925 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 777.91 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.4862
1.3978
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MNT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4311, compared to 1.4429 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0118 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4311
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4429

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0984 UGX (High: 1.5405 / Low: 1.4421). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0139 UGX (High: 1.4791 / Low: 1.4652).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0984
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0139

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0559 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0559

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 1.4788) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.9374), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4586 (-23.67%).

2014 Avg (January) 1.4788
2013 Avg (January) 1.9374

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5405 1.4421 1.4788
February 1.4652 1.3958 1.4229
March 1.4625 1.4261 1.4397
April 1.4491 1.4126 1.4248
May 1.4179 1.3958 1.4051
June 1.4300 1.4024 1.4154
July 1.4573 1.4095 1.4344
August 1.4414 1.3849 1.4078
September 1.4516 1.4212 1.4332
October 1.4647 1.4381 1.4510
November 1.4738 1.4445 1.4591
December 1.4791 1.4652 1.4718