2016 MNT to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7520 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.4299 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6041 UGX

2016 MNT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MNT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 1.7520. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1.4299.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3221 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7253 to the December average rate of 1.4539, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.7520 was down 5.39% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.8518, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MNT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,760 UGX

2015 Average 8,230 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,150 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,610.36 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.7524

1.4267

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MNT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6848, compared to 1.5235 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1614 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6848

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5235

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 0.1422 UGX (High: 1.6357 / Low: 1.4936). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0197 UGX (High: 1.6527 / Low: 1.6330).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1422

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0197

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1257 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1257

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 1.7120) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6794), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0326 (+1.94%).

2016 Avg (June) 1.7120

2015 Avg (June) 1.6794

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7465	1.6964	1.7253
February	1.7319	1.6511	1.6983
March	1.6527	1.6330	1.6458
April	1.6808	1.6459	1.6611
May	1.6943	1.6479	1.6665
June	1.7520	1.6860	1.7120
July	1.7173	1.6339	1.6737
August	1.6357	1.4936	1.5480
September	1.5313	1.4837	1.5113
October	1.5100	1.4573	1.4881
November	1.4860	1.4379	1.4657
December	1.4726	1.4299	1.4539