YEARLY HIGH
1.1122 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.0341 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0758 UGX

2023 MNT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MNT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 29, valuing the pair at 1.1122. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 1.0341.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0781 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0836 to the December average rate of 1.0961, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.1122 was down 11.84% compared to the 2022 peak of 1.2615, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MNT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,561 UGX
2022 Average 5,919 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 5,170 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 390.61 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.1014
1.0377
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MNT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0728, compared to 1.0788 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0060 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0728
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0788

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 0.0464 UGX (High: 1.0854 / Low: 1.0390). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0138 UGX (High: 1.1033 / Low: 1.0895).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0464
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0138

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0321 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0321

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2023: 1.0957) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.2457), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1500 (-12.04%).

2023 Avg (March) 1.0957
2022 Avg (March) 1.2457

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0953 1.0736 1.0836
February 1.0931 1.0711 1.0822
March 1.1122 1.0691 1.0957
April 1.0748 1.0556 1.0636
May 1.0738 1.0544 1.0590
June 1.0669 1.0379 1.0527
July 1.0620 1.0341 1.0430
August 1.0854 1.0390 1.0669
September 1.0925 1.0768 1.0837
October 1.0968 1.0807 1.0877
November 1.1066 1.0873 1.0950
December 1.1033 1.0895 1.0961