YEARLY HIGH
1.7752 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.4709 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5333 UGX

2018 MNT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MNT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 13, valuing the pair at 1.7752. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 1.4709.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3043 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5025 to the December average rate of 1.5072, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.7752 was up 14.98% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.5439, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MNT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,876 UGX
2017 Average 7,428 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 7,354 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,521.56 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.6148
1.4890
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MNT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5417, compared to 1.5249 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0167 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5417
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5249

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.2066 UGX (High: 1.7752 / Low: 1.5686). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0126 UGX (High: 1.5516 / Low: 1.5391).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.2066
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0126

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0655 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0655

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1.6043) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.5171), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0872 (+5.75%).

2018 Avg (June) 1.6043
2017 Avg (June) 1.5171

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5091 1.4965 1.5025
February 1.5299 1.5018 1.5162
March 1.5447 1.5220 1.5279
April 1.5516 1.5391 1.5465
May 1.5697 1.5468 1.5525
June 1.7752 1.5686 1.6043
July 1.5979 1.5101 1.5388
August 1.5438 1.5090 1.5275
September 1.5672 1.5413 1.5570
October 1.5661 1.5071 1.5195
November 1.5105 1.4856 1.4995
December 1.5227 1.4709 1.5072