2013 MOP to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1912 BAM

YEARLY LOW

0.1772 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1845 BAM

2013 MOP to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MOP to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 29, valuing the pair at 0.1912. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.1772.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0139 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1846 to the December average rate of 0.1788, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.1912 was down 5.76% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.2028, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 956 BAM

2012 Average 953 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 886 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 69.59 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.1898

0.1778

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1865, compared to 0.1825 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1865

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1825

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 0.0075 BAM (High: 0.1870 / Low: 0.1795). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0021 BAM (High: 0.1852 / Low: 0.1831).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0075

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0021

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0039 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0039

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 0.1888) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.1854), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0034 (+1.85%).

2013 Avg (March) 0.1888

2012 Avg (March) 0.1854

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1883	0.1809	0.1846
February	0.1870	0.1795	0.1832
March	0.1912	0.1873	0.1888
April	0.1911	0.1867	0.1880
May	0.1904	0.1859	0.1885
June	0.1884	0.1832	0.1858
July	0.1907	0.1845	0.1873
August	0.1852	0.1831	0.1840
September	0.1866	0.1810	0.1835
October	0.1812	0.1775	0.1796
November	0.1830	0.1803	0.1816
December	0.1808	0.1772	0.1788