2016 MOP to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2356 BAM

YEARLY LOW

0.2127 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2211 BAM

2016 MOP to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 0.2356. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 0.2127.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0229 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2245 to the December average rate of 0.2323, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2356 was up 1.25% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2327, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,178 BAM

2015 Average 1,104 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 1,063 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 114.73 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2339

0.2143

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2190, compared to 0.2232 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0042 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2190

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2232

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0116 BAM (High: 0.2317 / Low: 0.2200). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 BAM (High: 0.2195 / Low: 0.2175).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0116

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0048 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0048

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.2323) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2252), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0071 (+3.15%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.2323

2015 Avg (December) 0.2252

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2268	0.2230	0.2245
February	0.2245	0.2156	0.2197
March	0.2247	0.2154	0.2199
April	0.2181	0.2140	0.2159
May	0.2200	0.2127	0.2165
June	0.2218	0.2148	0.2176
July	0.2228	0.2194	0.2212
August	0.2208	0.2164	0.2186
September	0.2195	0.2175	0.2185
October	0.2251	0.2181	0.2219
November	0.2317	0.2200	0.2269
December	0.2356	0.2280	0.2323