2019 MOP to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2222 BAM

YEARLY LOW

0.2100 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2165 BAM

2019 MOP to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 1, valuing the pair at 0.2222. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 0.2100.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0122 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2120 to the December average rate of 0.2191, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.2222 was up 3.09% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.2155, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,111 BAM

2018 Average 1,026 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 1,050 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 60.87 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.2208

0.2112

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2143, compared to 0.2187 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0044 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2143

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2187

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 0.0053 BAM (High: 0.2222 / Low: 0.2169). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 BAM (High: 0.2173 / Low: 0.2153).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0053

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0014 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0014

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2019: 0.2191) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.2109), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0082 (+3.90%).

2019 Avg (October) 0.2191

2018 Avg (October) 0.2109

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2138	0.2100	0.2120
February	0.2147	0.2110	0.2131
March	0.2157	0.2124	0.2140
April	0.2175	0.2140	0.2154
May	0.2173	0.2153	0.2164
June	0.2172	0.2134	0.2149
July	0.2183	0.2145	0.2166
August	0.2193	0.2157	0.2178
September	0.2218	0.2187	0.2200
October	0.2222	0.2169	0.2191
November	0.2207	0.2170	0.2194
December	0.2206	0.2172	0.2191