2013 MOP to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1528.6697 IDR

YEARLY LOW

1201.9060 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1306.0916 IDR

2013 MOP to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MOP to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 1528.6697. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 10, dropping to 1201.9060.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 326.7637 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1210.1028 to the December average rate of 1509.9780, the exchange rate registered a net change of 24.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1528.6697 was up 26.09% compared to the 2012 peak of 1212.3953, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,643,349 IDR

2012 Average 5,866,807 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 6,009,530 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,633,818.42 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1539.9655

1180.1153

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1217.3419, compared to 1394.8413 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 177.4994 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1217.3419

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1394.8413

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 95.4521 IDR (High: 1381.2601 / Low: 1285.8079). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.7376 IDR (High: 1216.8263 / Low: 1205.0887).

August Spread (Volatile) ±95.4521

February Spread (Stable) ±11.7376

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 4.1811 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.1811

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 1509.9780) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1207.2629), the exchange rate shifted by +302.7151 (+25.07%).

2013 Avg (December) 1509.9780

2012 Avg (December) 1207.2629

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1222.0437	1204.2680	1210.1028
February	1216.8263	1205.0887	1211.3139
March	1219.4801	1201.9060	1213.4209
April	1225.2094	1209.7254	1216.0202
May	1228.1476	1210.8900	1219.1757
June	1242.3623	1220.0117	1234.0181
July	1289.6421	1238.3948	1260.2719
August	1381.2601	1285.8079	1320.9486
September	1441.4319	1372.0026	1415.9597
October	1443.0438	1371.1266	1411.7786
November	1492.0984	1414.9706	1450.1110
December	1528.6697	1474.7480	1509.9780