YEARLY HIGH
1794.8023 IDR
YEARLY LOW
1722.7143 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1751.7054 IDR

2019 MOP to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 1794.8023. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 1722.7143.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 72.0880 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1752.2125 to the December average rate of 1740.6829, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1794.8023 was down 5.51% compared to the 2018 peak of 1899.4675, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,974,012 IDR
2018 Average 8,776,083 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 8,613,571 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 360,440.21 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1781.0389
1731.3148
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1756.3588, compared to 1747.0519 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 9.3068 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1756.3588
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1747.0519

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 64.2101 IDR (High: 1786.9244 / Low: 1722.7143). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 15.4192 IDR (High: 1748.7857 / Low: 1733.3664).

January Spread (Volatile) ±64.2101
November Spread (Stable) ±15.4192

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 21.5861 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -21.5861

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 1776.8952) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1736.2133), the exchange rate shifted by +40.6819 (+2.34%).

2019 Avg (May) 1776.8952
2018 Avg (May) 1736.2133

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1786.9244 1722.7143 1752.2125
February 1756.1883 1723.0034 1735.4584
March 1773.5664 1745.2753 1759.0590
April 1770.6906 1736.2177 1749.2312
May 1794.8023 1757.5692 1776.8952
June 1787.3502 1754.4254 1765.2962
July 1765.5248 1725.3936 1743.7101
August 1777.6354 1730.4177 1761.8514
September 1763.2885 1729.1934 1746.1062
October 1760.1353 1732.1847 1746.6712
November 1748.7857 1733.3664 1743.2898
December 1751.6930 1731.5593 1740.6829