2016 MOP to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1743.5583 IDR

YEARLY LOW

1621.9982 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1663.9621 IDR

2016 MOP to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 1743.5583. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 1621.9982.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 121.5601 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1730.3113 to the December average rate of 1677.9794, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1743.5583 was down 5.34% compared to the 2015 peak of 1841.8454, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,717,792 IDR

2015 Average 8,386,115 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 8,109,991 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 607,800.57 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1740.3294

1620.1121

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1677.1826, compared to 1650.7415 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 26.4411 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1677.1826

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1650.7415

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 64.3450 IDR (High: 1698.0121 / Low: 1633.6672). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 13.6365 IDR (High: 1654.7182 / Low: 1641.0817).

November Spread (Volatile) ±64.3450

April Spread (Stable) ±13.6365

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 43.7198 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -43.7198

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1730.3113) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1572.5087), the exchange rate shifted by +157.8026 (+10.04%).

2016 Avg (January) 1730.3113

2015 Avg (January) 1572.5087

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1743.5583	1712.8815	1730.3113
February	1714.6026	1668.5282	1686.5915
March	1672.2249	1629.4303	1647.8814
April	1654.7182	1641.0817	1648.7449
May	1704.4351	1642.6045	1678.9797
June	1705.4790	1649.2862	1670.5869
July	1648.2031	1633.6603	1641.2750
August	1661.0595	1637.1187	1646.6540
September	1662.4333	1621.9982	1642.1872
October	1638.5607	1623.8179	1630.1302
November	1698.0121	1633.6672	1666.2233
December	1699.7724	1659.0136	1677.9794