2018 MOP to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1899.4675 IDR

YEARLY LOW

1653.0260 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1754.7113 IDR

2018 MOP to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 1899.4675. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 19, dropping to 1653.0260.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 246.4415 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1665.4539 to the December average rate of 1801.5522, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.17% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1899.4675 was up 12.32% compared to the 2017 peak of 1691.0742, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,497,338 IDR

2017 Average 8,336,879 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 8,265,130 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,232,207.62 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1903.5590

1643.8080

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1704.8008, compared to 1804.6218 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 99.8210 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1704.8008

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1804.6218

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 96.5194 IDR (High: 1874.5089 / Low: 1777.9895). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.8439 IDR (High: 1709.7217 / Low: 1700.8777).

November Spread (Volatile) ±96.5194

March Spread (Stable) ±8.8439

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 61.8837 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -61.8837

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 1881.9131) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1680.8956), the exchange rate shifted by +201.0175 (+11.96%).

2018 Avg (October) 1881.9131

2017 Avg (October) 1680.8956

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1687.5398	1653.0260	1665.4539
February	1702.1343	1665.4300	1685.5389
March	1709.7217	1700.8777	1704.1170
April	1717.8099	1700.7720	1707.4934
May	1753.3537	1717.8790	1736.2133
June	1760.3119	1711.7524	1729.9883
July	1774.2136	1759.1630	1766.2594
August	1780.1394	1767.7371	1773.5499
September	1793.1585	1777.4453	1784.4269
October	1899.4675	1808.8871	1881.9131
November	1874.5089	1777.9895	1820.0294
December	1816.7123	1765.0421	1801.5522