2011 MOP to LSL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0638 LSL

YEARLY LOW

0.8206 LSL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9031 LSL

2011 MOP to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MOP to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 23, valuing the pair at 1.0638. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 0.8206.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2433 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8620 to the December average rate of 1.0218, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.0638 was up 7.47% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.9899, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,319 LSL

2010 Average 4,572 LSL

Yearly Trough Low 4,103 LSL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,216.31 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.0398

0.8236

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8606, compared to 0.9457 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0852 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8606

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9457

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.1127 LSL (High: 0.9861 / Low: 0.8733). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0172 LSL (High: 0.8550 / Low: 0.8378).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1127

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0172

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0336 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0336

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2011: 1.0155) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.8700), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1456 (+16.73%).

2011 Avg (November) 1.0155

2010 Avg (November) 0.8700

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8956	0.8247	0.8620
February	0.9105	0.8696	0.8966
March	0.8833	0.8489	0.8630
April	0.8577	0.8297	0.8416
May	0.8759	0.8206	0.8547
June	0.8550	0.8378	0.8455
July	0.8639	0.8353	0.8458
August	0.9028	0.8320	0.8813
September	0.9861	0.8733	0.9251
October	1.0079	0.9652	0.9848
November	1.0638	0.9824	1.0155
December	1.0482	1.0023	1.0218