YEARLY HIGH
1.9287 LSL
YEARLY LOW
1.4321 LSL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6384 LSL

2018 MOP to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 16, valuing the pair at 1.9287. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 23, dropping to 1.4321.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4966 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5136 to the December average rate of 1.7699, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.94% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.9287 was up 6.83% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.8054, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,644 LSL
2017 Average 8,294 LSL
Yearly Trough Low 7,161 LSL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,482.99 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.8622
1.4325
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5229, compared to 1.7538 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2308 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5229
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7538

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.1777 LSL (High: 1.9287 / Low: 1.7510). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0489 LSL (High: 1.4901 / Low: 1.4413).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1777
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0489

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0521 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0521

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.8264) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.6327), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1937 (+11.86%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.8264
2017 Avg (September) 1.6327

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5465 1.4702 1.5136
February 1.5098 1.4321 1.4688
March 1.4901 1.4413 1.4684
April 1.5409 1.4636 1.4964
May 1.5754 1.5194 1.5511
June 1.7089 1.5528 1.6395
July 1.7140 1.6211 1.6591
August 1.8074 1.6339 1.7186
September 1.9287 1.7510 1.8264
October 1.8466 1.7552 1.8003
November 1.7927 1.6999 1.7482
December 1.8057 1.6954 1.7699