2016 MOP to LSL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.0992 LSL

YEARLY LOW

1.6659 LSL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8392 LSL

2016 MOP to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 18, valuing the pair at 2.0992. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 8, dropping to 1.6659.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4334 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0310 to the December average rate of 1.7351, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.0992 was up 5.34% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.9929, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,496 LSL

2015 Average 8,001 LSL

Yearly Trough Low 8,329 LSL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,166.97 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.0618

1.6924

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9257, compared to 1.7526 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1731 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9257

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7526

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.1948 LSL (High: 1.9730 / Low: 1.7783). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0697 LSL (High: 1.7658 / Low: 1.6961).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1948

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0697

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0937 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0937

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2.0310) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.4469), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5841 (+40.37%).

2016 Avg (January) 2.0310

2015 Avg (January) 1.4469

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.0992	1.9313	2.0310
February	2.0120	1.9031	1.9710
March	1.9766	1.8556	1.9229
April	1.9045	1.7806	1.8292
May	1.9730	1.7783	1.9138
June	1.9547	1.8019	1.8862
July	1.8472	1.7408	1.8008
August	1.8194	1.6708	1.7232
September	1.8208	1.6924	1.7624
October	1.7884	1.6984	1.7451
November	1.8064	1.6659	1.7492
December	1.7658	1.6961	1.7351