2018 MOP to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2630.3353 STD

YEARLY LOW

2442.3803 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

2559.0335 STD

2018 MOP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 2630.3353. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 2442.3803.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 187.9550 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2507.8337 to the December average rate of 2612.2237, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2630.3353 was down 10.49% compared to the 2017 peak of 2938.6654, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,151,676 STD

2017 Average 13,539,873 STD

Yearly Trough Low 12,211,901 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 939,775.10 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2629.2164

2448.0262

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2510.2763, compared to 2607.7907 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 97.5145 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2510.2763

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2607.7907

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 101.8222 STD (High: 2614.8636 / Low: 2513.0414). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 13.4474 STD (High: 2613.3847 / Low: 2599.9373).

May Spread (Volatile) ±101.8222

August Spread (Stable) ±13.4474

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 44.3600 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -44.3600

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 2611.7553) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2588.6025), the exchange rate shifted by +23.1528 (+0.89%).

2018 Avg (November) 2611.7553

2017 Avg (November) 2588.6025

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2541.7091	2454.2273	2507.8337
February	2486.3159	2442.3803	2463.4737
March	2477.5020	2450.5172	2463.1254
April	2484.3063	2454.8467	2466.5056
May	2614.8636	2513.0414	2562.1619
June	2619.2528	2574.2026	2598.5573
July	2607.2947	2582.4995	2596.9314
August	2613.3847	2599.9373	2604.4972
September	2618.1947	2600.8826	2607.2196
October	2627.7192	2599.8573	2614.1172
November	2630.3353	2608.2569	2611.7553
December	2618.5113	2600.0991	2612.2237