YEARLY HIGH
2862.8244 STD
YEARLY LOW
2753.4927 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2802.6800 STD

2023 MOP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MOP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 18, valuing the pair at 2862.8244. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 2753.4927.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 109.3317 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2833.7704 to the December average rate of 2766.7645, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 2862.8244 was down 2.28% compared to the 2022 peak of 2929.7065, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,314,122 STD
2022 Average 13,744,298 STD
Yearly Trough Low 13,767,464 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 546,658.33 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

2840.8110
2756.3246
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2827.9797, compared to 2777.3803 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 50.5994 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2827.9797
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2777.3803

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was July, with a trading range of 85.6079 STD (High: 2857.5573 / Low: 2771.9494). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 18.0409 STD (High: 2774.3658 / Low: 2756.3249).

July Spread (Volatile) ±85.6079
October Spread (Stable) ±18.0409

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 64.4810 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -64.4810

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2023: 2827.2628) against the same month in 2022 (average: 2656.5409), the exchange rate shifted by +170.7219 (+6.43%).

2023 Avg (March) 2827.2628
2022 Avg (March) 2656.5409

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2846.2756 2826.9446 2833.7704
February 2840.8365 2798.4054 2823.6907
March 2862.8244 2820.4229 2827.2628
April 2860.3872 2818.3779 2825.7241
May 2842.3305 2814.3726 2827.9708
June 2847.6278 2816.5335 2829.4594
July 2857.5573 2771.9494 2829.1382
August 2789.7905 2754.7751 2764.6572
September 2775.9921 2754.6222 2763.3651
October 2774.3658 2756.3249 2766.1523
November 2787.3950 2764.6885 2774.2047
December 2775.8676 2753.4927 2766.7645