YEARLY HIGH
2802.4595 STD
YEARLY LOW
2553.4570 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2693.9211 STD

2020 MOP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MOP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 29, valuing the pair at 2802.4595. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 2553.4570.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 249.0025 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2692.8399 to the December average rate of 2589.0536, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 2802.4595 was up 3.26% compared to the 2019 peak of 2714.0424, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,012,297 STD
2019 Average 13,206,067 STD
Yearly Trough Low 12,767,285 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,245,012.45 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

2782.5157
2571.4661
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2747.2244, compared to 2640.6178 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 106.6066 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2747.2244
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2640.6178

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was July, with a trading range of 78.3293 STD (High: 2755.7094 / Low: 2677.3801). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.4802 STD (High: 2763.3180 / Low: 2753.8378).

July Spread (Volatile) ±78.3293
June Spread (Stable) ±9.4802

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 85.7815 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -85.7815

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 2764.9282) against the same month in 2019 (average: 2604.3433), the exchange rate shifted by +160.5850 (+6.17%).

2020 Avg (March) 2764.9282
2019 Avg (March) 2604.3433

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2702.1151 2674.5674 2692.8399
February 2756.9208 2694.5194 2739.7860
March 2802.4595 2739.0828 2764.9282
April 2785.1110 2749.9695 2763.0970
May 2780.2545 2760.1264 2762.4532
June 2763.3180 2753.8378 2760.2419
July 2755.7094 2677.3801 2730.1586
August 2680.3150 2626.0504 2644.3771
September 2636.1897 2608.1156 2626.1867
October 2636.9988 2619.9598 2629.8294
November 2636.4892 2617.2631 2624.1013
December 2619.5035 2553.4570 2589.0536