YEARLY HIGH
2795.6837 STD
YEARLY LOW
2748.8769 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2764.4204 STD

2026 MOP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 2795.6837. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 2748.8769.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 46.8067 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2775.1364 to the December average rate of 2758.8100, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 2795.6837 was down 0.53% compared to the 2025 peak of 2810.6533, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,978,418 STD
2025 Average 13,877,272 STD
Yearly Trough Low 13,744,385 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 234,033.54 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

2776.7690
2757.1774
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2765.3554, compared to 2758.8100 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.5454 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2765.3554
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2758.8100

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 28.0406 STD (High: 2776.9175 / Low: 2748.8769). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5938 STD (High: 2761.7518 / Low: 2760.1580).

February Spread (Volatile) ±28.0406
May Spread (Stable) ±1.5938

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 6.0002 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 2775.1364) against the same month in 2025 (average: 2778.7875), the exchange rate shifted by -3.6511 (-0.13%).

2026 Avg (January) 2775.1364
2025 Avg (January) 2778.7875

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2795.6837 2770.0390 2775.1364
February 2776.9175 2748.8769 2769.1361
March 2781.2176 2754.0550 2765.2096
April 2766.1833 2750.7977 2761.8269
May 2761.7518 2760.1580 2760.9809
June 2762.3429 2754.4470 2759.8427
July 2765.6818 2753.5427 2758.8100