2018 MOP to TJS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1718 TJS

YEARLY LOW

1.0908 TJS

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1333 TJS

2018 MOP to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 24, valuing the pair at 1.1718. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 20, dropping to 1.0908.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0810 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0952 to the December average rate of 1.1693, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.1718 was up 5.66% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.1090, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,859 TJS

2017 Average 5,355 TJS

Yearly Trough Low 5,454 TJS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 404.91 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.1770

1.0847

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1020, compared to 1.1646 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0627 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1020

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1646

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0312 TJS (High: 1.1659 / Low: 1.1348). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 TJS (High: 1.1658 / Low: 1.1644).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0312

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0026 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0026

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.1672) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.0942), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0730 (+6.67%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.1672

2017 Avg (September) 1.0942

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0964	1.0938	1.0952
February	1.0957	1.0938	1.0949
March	1.0943	1.0908	1.0923
April	1.0999	1.0911	1.0954
May	1.1136	1.0998	1.1101
June	1.1352	1.1121	1.1237
July	1.1659	1.1348	1.1506
August	1.1658	1.1644	1.1649
September	1.1718	1.1644	1.1672
October	1.1686	1.1658	1.1671
November	1.1695	1.1672	1.1685
December	1.1717	1.1639	1.1693