YEARLY HIGH
1.2090 TJS
YEARLY LOW
1.1634 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1805 TJS

2019 MOP to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 1.2090. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 1.1634.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0455 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1677 to the December average rate of 1.2053, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.2090 was up 3.17% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.1718, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,045 TJS
2018 Average 5,668 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 5,817 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 227.62 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.2091
1.1631
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1677, compared to 1.1933 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0256 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1677
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1933

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0335 TJS (High: 1.2003 / Low: 1.1667). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 TJS (High: 1.1680 / Low: 1.1660).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0335
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0006 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 1.2053) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.1693), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0360 (+3.08%).

2019 Avg (December) 1.2053
2018 Avg (December) 1.1693

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1694 1.1668 1.1677
February 1.1680 1.1660 1.1671
March 1.1680 1.1634 1.1670
April 1.1688 1.1655 1.1675
May 1.1686 1.1663 1.1672
June 1.1732 1.1675 1.1701
July 1.1767 1.1703 1.1725
August 1.2003 1.1667 1.1800
September 1.2027 1.1943 1.2003
October 1.2013 1.1990 1.1998
November 1.2036 1.1989 1.2020
December 1.2090 1.2005 1.2053