YEARLY HIGH
1.3656 TJS
YEARLY LOW
1.2379 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3403 TJS

2023 MOP to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MOP to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 8, valuing the pair at 1.3656. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 9, dropping to 1.2379.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1277 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2704 to the December average rate of 1.3583, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.3656 was down 15.70% compared to the 2022 peak of 1.6199, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,828 TJS
2022 Average 6,801 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 6,189 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 638.37 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.3711
1.2612
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3201, compared to 1.3605 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0404 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3201
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3605

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 0.1164 TJS (High: 1.3543 / Low: 1.2379). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0032 TJS (High: 1.3519 / Low: 1.3487).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1164
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0032

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0027 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2023: 1.3617) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.2633), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0984 (+7.79%).

2023 Avg (August) 1.3617
2022 Avg (August) 1.2633

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2747 1.2601 1.2704
February 1.3314 1.2387 1.2855
March 1.3543 1.2379 1.3077
April 1.3519 1.3487 1.3504
May 1.3575 1.3465 1.3529
June 1.3575 1.3520 1.3539
July 1.3637 1.3468 1.3586
August 1.3656 1.3587 1.3617
September 1.3648 1.3591 1.3619
October 1.3641 1.3573 1.3616
November 1.3646 1.3568 1.3611
December 1.3607 1.3548 1.3583