YEARLY HIGH
1.3665 TJS
YEARLY LOW
1.1442 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2443 TJS

2025 MOP to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MOP to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 1.3665. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 1.1442.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2223 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3617 to the December average rate of 1.1483, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 1.3665 was down 0.07% compared to the 2024 peak of 1.3675, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,833 TJS
2024 Average 6,710 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 5,721 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,111.73 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

1.3834
1.1269
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3246, compared to 1.1640 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1607 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3246
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1640

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was May, with a trading range of 0.0817 TJS (High: 1.3170 / Low: 1.2353). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0064 TJS (High: 1.3642 / Low: 1.3578).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0817
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0064

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2025. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0625 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0625

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2025: 1.3617) against the same month in 2024 (average: 1.3570), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0047 (+0.35%).

2025 Avg (January) 1.3617
2024 Avg (January) 1.3570

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3665 1.3581 1.3617
February 1.3642 1.3578 1.3613
March 1.3657 1.3567 1.3620
April 1.3635 1.3205 1.3477
May 1.3170 1.2353 1.2852
June 1.2535 1.2188 1.2299
July 1.2213 1.1749 1.1905
August 1.1916 1.1520 1.1640
September 1.1828 1.1610 1.1724
October 1.1651 1.1462 1.1555
November 1.1578 1.1462 1.1532
December 1.1528 1.1442 1.1483