2011 MRO to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3740 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.2850 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3171 KES

2011 MRO to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MRO to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 0.3740. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 0.2850.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0890 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2889 to the December average rate of 0.3019, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.3740 was up 24.57% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.3002, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,870 KES

2010 Average 1,447 KES

Yearly Trough Low 1,425 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 445.18 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.3578

0.2826

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3036, compared to 0.3306 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0270 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3036

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3306

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.0341 KES (High: 0.3670 / Low: 0.3328). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0073 KES (High: 0.3300 / Low: 0.3228).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0341

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0073

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0253 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0253

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 0.3515) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.2848), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0667 (+23.41%).

2011 Avg (October) 0.3515

2010 Avg (October) 0.2848

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2934	0.2850	0.2889
February	0.2950	0.2853	0.2892
March	0.3053	0.2893	0.2987
April	0.3097	0.2976	0.3048
May	0.3199	0.3055	0.3142
June	0.3369	0.3134	0.3260
July	0.3300	0.3228	0.3265
August	0.3421	0.3293	0.3342
September	0.3670	0.3328	0.3426
October	0.3740	0.3425	0.3515
November	0.3459	0.3134	0.3272
December	0.3145	0.2907	0.3019