2012 MRO to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3034 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.2766 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2864 KES

2012 MRO to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MRO to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 0.3034. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 0.2766.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0268 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2986 to the December average rate of 0.2879, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.3034 was down 18.88% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.3740, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,517 KES

2011 Average 1,586 KES

Yearly Trough Low 1,383 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 134.02 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.3006

0.2769

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2890, compared to 0.2838 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0051 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2890

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2838

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.0145 KES (High: 0.2994 / Low: 0.2849). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 KES (High: 0.2892 / Low: 0.2861).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0145

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0131 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0131

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 0.2986) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.2889), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0097 (+3.37%).

2012 Avg (January) 0.2986

2011 Avg (January) 0.2889

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3034	0.2919	0.2986
February	0.2895	0.2808	0.2855
March	0.2862	0.2807	0.2834
April	0.2892	0.2836	0.2866
May	0.2994	0.2849	0.2895
June	0.2980	0.2841	0.2902
July	0.2905	0.2802	0.2846
August	0.2808	0.2766	0.2789
September	0.2847	0.2790	0.2812
October	0.2855	0.2818	0.2832
November	0.2892	0.2861	0.2873
December	0.2915	0.2847	0.2879