2018 MRO to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4858 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.2806 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2855 KES

2018 MRO to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MRO to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 0.4858. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 23, dropping to 0.2806.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2052 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2899 to the December average rate of 0.2863, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4858 was up 65.28% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2939, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,429 KES

2017 Average 1,437 KES

Yearly Trough Low 1,403 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,025.85 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.2976

0.2809

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2849, compared to 0.2861 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2849

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2861

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.2035 KES (High: 0.4858 / Low: 0.2823). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 KES (High: 0.2832 / Low: 0.2819).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2035

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0096 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0096

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 0.2962) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2865), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0097 (+3.38%).

2018 Avg (October) 0.2962

2017 Avg (October) 0.2865

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2922	0.2878	0.2899
February	0.2866	0.2838	0.2853
March	0.2856	0.2830	0.2844
April	0.2864	0.2806	0.2830
May	0.2857	0.2813	0.2829
June	0.2848	0.2830	0.2839
July	0.2844	0.2808	0.2827
August	0.2831	0.2817	0.2823
September	0.2832	0.2819	0.2824
October	0.4858	0.2823	0.2962
November	0.2891	0.2839	0.2866
December	0.2874	0.2839	0.2863