2013 MRO to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3191 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.2799 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2935 KES

2013 MRO to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MRO to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 30, valuing the pair at 0.3191. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 20, dropping to 0.2799.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0393 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2885 to the December average rate of 0.2960, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.3191 was up 5.18% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.3034, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,596 KES

2012 Average 1,432 KES

Yearly Trough Low 1,399 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 196.26 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.3101

0.2822

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2955, compared to 0.2916 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2955

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2916

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.0370 KES (High: 0.3169 / Low: 0.2799). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0046 KES (High: 0.2937 / Low: 0.2891).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0370

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0046

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0150 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0150

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2013: 0.3078) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.2866), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0211 (+7.38%).

2013 Avg (April) 0.3078

2012 Avg (April) 0.2866

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2922	0.2839	0.2885
February	0.2937	0.2891	0.2918
March	0.3079	0.2896	0.2970
April	0.3191	0.3039	0.3078
May	0.3169	0.2799	0.3014
June	0.2910	0.2831	0.2864
July	0.2982	0.2864	0.2918
August	0.2967	0.2892	0.2912
September	0.3047	0.2908	0.2969
October	0.2966	0.2813	0.2845
November	0.2982	0.2818	0.2890
December	0.2985	0.2937	0.2960