YEARLY HIGH
5.3700 RUB
YEARLY LOW
3.9272 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3897 RUB

2016 MVR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MVR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 5.3700. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 3.9272.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4428 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0011 to the December average rate of 4.0503, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.3700 was up 12.35% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.7799, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,850 RUB
2015 Average 20,023 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 19,636 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,213.87 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.1466
3.9506
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5936, compared to 4.1859 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4077 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5936
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1859

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.6111 RUB (High: 5.3700 / Low: 4.7588). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0823 RUB (High: 4.1472 / Low: 4.0650).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.6111
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0823

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.4683 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4683

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.0011) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.1976), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8036 (+19.14%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.0011
2015 Avg (January) 4.1976

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.3700 4.7588 5.0011
February 5.2000 4.9339 5.0469
March 4.8210 4.3941 4.5786
April 4.5452 4.2419 4.3652
May 4.3800 4.2380 4.3111
June 4.3866 4.1588 4.2586
July 4.3779 4.1272 4.2380
August 4.4105 4.1923 4.2724
September 4.3202 4.1211 4.2263
October 4.1472 4.0650 4.1025
November 4.3433 4.1513 4.2256
December 4.2181 3.9272 4.0503