YEARLY HIGH
5.5760 RUB
YEARLY LOW
4.6015 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9544 RUB

2026 MVR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MVR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 5.5760. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 27, dropping to 4.6015.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9745 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0482 to the December average rate of 5.0288, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 5.5760 was down 24.54% compared to the 2025 peak of 7.3896, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,880 RUB
2025 Average 27,203 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 23,007 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,872.71 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

5.2700
4.5938
JanuMarcMayJuly

MVR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9420, compared to 5.0288 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0869 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9420
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0288

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.5644 RUB (High: 5.5760 / Low: 5.0116). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0791 RUB (High: 5.0127 / Low: 4.9335).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.5644
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0791

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.3324 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3324

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 5.2137) against the same month in 2025 (average: 5.5863), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3726 (-6.67%).

2026 Avg (March) 5.2137
2025 Avg (March) 5.5863

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.2427 4.8498 5.0482
February 5.0127 4.9335 4.9717
March 5.5760 5.0116 5.2137
April 5.2012 4.8364 4.9826
May 4.8510 4.6015 4.6502
June 5.1080 4.6273 4.7854
July 5.1650 4.9402 5.0288