YEARLY HIGH
4.5654 RUB
YEARLY LOW
3.6005 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0660 RUB

2018 MVR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MVR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 4.5654. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 3.6005.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9649 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6785 to the December average rate of 4.3744, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.5654 was up 9.52% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.1687, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,827 RUB
2017 Average 18,893 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 18,003 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,824.53 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.4536
3.6081
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8473, compared to 4.2847 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4375 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8473
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2847

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.3735 RUB (High: 4.0843 / Low: 3.7108). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0851 RUB (High: 3.7363 / Low: 3.6512).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.3735
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0851

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1146 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1146

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 4.3831) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.7393), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6439 (+17.22%).

2018 Avg (September) 4.3831
2017 Avg (September) 3.7393

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7414 3.6286 3.6785
February 3.7876 3.6005 3.6842
March 3.7363 3.6512 3.6980
April 4.0843 3.7108 3.9389
May 4.1285 3.9434 4.0202
June 4.1435 3.9799 4.0637
July 4.1320 4.0098 4.0738
August 4.4164 4.0868 4.3032
September 4.5654 4.2551 4.3831
October 4.3465 4.2162 4.2685
November 4.3978 4.2427 4.3053
December 4.5020 4.2918 4.3744