YEARLY HIGH
6.5584 RUB
YEARLY LOW
4.2859 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5583 RUB

2023 MVR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MVR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 6.5584. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 4.2859.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2726 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5480 to the December average rate of 5.9235, the exchange rate registered a net change of 30.24% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 6.5584 was down 28.98% compared to the 2022 peak of 9.2341, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,792 RUB
2022 Average 22,651 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 21,429 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,362.78 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

6.4833
4.3721
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0286, compared to 6.0881 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0595 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0286
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0881

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 0.5422 RUB (High: 5.8018 / Low: 5.2597). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1565 RUB (High: 5.0377 / Low: 4.8813).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.5422
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1565

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.4115 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4115

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 6.3074) against the same month in 2022 (average: 4.0076), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2998 (+57.39%).

2023 Avg (October) 6.3074
2022 Avg (October) 4.0076

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7857 4.2859 4.5480
February 4.9522 4.5527 4.7887
March 5.0377 4.8813 4.9658
April 5.3443 5.0309 5.2742
May 5.3137 4.9547 5.1586
June 5.8018 5.2597 5.4361
July 5.9977 5.7446 5.8930
August 6.5173 6.0163 6.2343
September 6.3768 6.1501 6.2744
October 6.5584 6.0436 6.3074
November 6.0648 5.7313 5.8959
December 6.0518 5.7451 5.9235