2011 NPR to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.0721 CDF

YEARLY LOW

10.5051 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.3514 CDF

2011 NPR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the NPR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 27, valuing the pair at 13.0721. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 10.5051.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5670 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.7385 to the December average rate of 10.7851, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 13.0721 was up 0.49% compared to the 2010 peak of 13.0088, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,360 CDF

2010 Average 62,748 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 52,525 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,834.95 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

13.0887

10.5756

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.7801, compared to 11.9227 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8574 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.7801

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.9227

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.8155 CDF (High: 11.8220 / Low: 11.0065). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1846 CDF (High: 12.9620 / Low: 12.7773).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.8155

March Spread (Stable) ±0.1846

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.6181 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6181

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2011: 12.8376) against the same month in 2010 (average: 12.3383), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4993 (+4.05%).

2011 Avg (July) 12.8376

2010 Avg (July) 12.3383

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.9028	12.5905	12.7385
February	12.9713	12.6853	12.8557
March	12.9620	12.7773	12.8793
April	12.9393	12.7405	12.8609
May	12.8740	12.5251	12.7002
June	12.7581	12.5641	12.6461
July	13.0721	12.6712	12.8376
August	12.9129	12.3859	12.5676
September	12.5425	11.7556	12.1200
October	11.9779	11.6988	11.8225
November	11.8220	11.0065	11.4031
December	11.1123	10.5051	10.7851