2014 NPR to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

9.8687 CDF

YEARLY LOW

9.0982 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

9.4483 CDF

2014 NPR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the NPR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 25, valuing the pair at 9.8687. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 9.0982.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7705 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.3024 to the December average rate of 9.2236, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 9.8687 was down 8.91% compared to the 2013 peak of 10.8340, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 49,343 CDF

2013 Average 49,457 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 45,491 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,852.31 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

9.7270

9.1778

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.4808, compared to 9.4158 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0650 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.4808

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.4158

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 0.3431 CDF (High: 9.6246 / Low: 9.2814). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0934 CDF (High: 9.3975 / Low: 9.3041).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3431

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0934

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1303 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1303

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 9.6813) against the same month in 2013 (average: 10.4820), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8008 (-7.64%).

2014 Avg (May) 9.6813

2013 Avg (May) 10.4820

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9.4118	9.1548	9.3024
February	9.3220	9.2080	9.2611
March	9.6246	9.2814	9.4406
April	9.6462	9.4551	9.5464
May	9.8687	9.5366	9.6813
June	9.7376	9.5134	9.6532
July	9.6540	9.5501	9.5910
August	9.5243	9.3893	9.4642
September	9.5394	9.3661	9.4681
October	9.4663	9.3366	9.3939
November	9.3975	9.3041	9.3539
December	9.3889	9.0982	9.2236