2013 NPR to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.8340 CDF

YEARLY LOW

8.6301 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

9.8957 CDF

2013 NPR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the NPR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 6, valuing the pair at 10.8340. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 4, dropping to 8.6301.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2039 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.6178 to the December average rate of 9.3243, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 10.8340 was down 8.43% compared to the 2012 peak of 11.8317, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,170 CDF

2012 Average 53,956 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 43,150 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,019.37 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

10.8354

8.9061

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.4816, compared to 9.3098 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1717 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.4816

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.3098

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 0.7989 CDF (High: 9.4975 / Low: 8.6986). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1927 CDF (High: 9.4626 / Low: 9.2699).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.7989

October Spread (Stable) ±0.1927

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.5834 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5834

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 10.6746) against the same month in 2012 (average: 11.6049), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9303 (-8.02%).

2013 Avg (February) 10.6746

2012 Avg (February) 11.6049

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.7886	10.4020	10.6178
February	10.8340	10.5507	10.6746
March	10.7449	10.4497	10.6308
April	10.6923	10.4706	10.5855
May	10.7170	10.1583	10.4820
June	10.1803	9.5370	9.8986
July	9.8106	9.4659	9.6398
August	9.4975	8.6986	9.1986
September	9.3056	8.6301	9.0668
October	9.4626	9.2699	9.3831
November	9.4029	9.1123	9.2464
December	9.4496	9.2457	9.3243