2011 PGK to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

48.3741 KES

YEARLY LOW

30.5710 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

38.0695 KES

2011 PGK to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the PGK to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 48.3741. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 30.5710.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.8031 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.9370 to the December average rate of 40.6287, the exchange rate registered a net change of 31.33% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 48.3741 was up 54.16% compared to the 2010 peak of 31.3791, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 241,870 KES

2010 Average 147,002 KES

Yearly Trough Low 152,855 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 89,015.36 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

47.8404

29.4003

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 33.5536, compared to 42.5853 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 9.0316 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 33.5536

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 42.5853

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 4.8301 KES (High: 40.3082 / Low: 35.4781). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6893 KES (High: 31.2603 / Low: 30.5710).

June Spread (Volatile) ±4.8301

January Spread (Stable) ±0.6893

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 3.2011 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.2011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 46.3037) against the same month in 2010 (average: 30.9732), the exchange rate shifted by +15.3305 (+49.50%).

2011 Avg (October) 46.3037

2010 Avg (October) 30.9732

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	31.2603	30.5710	30.9370
February	31.9184	30.9016	31.2357
March	33.3262	32.0605	32.5822
April	34.1499	32.4713	33.3100
May	35.8498	34.0607	35.1893
June	40.3082	35.4781	38.0678
July	40.4201	38.6156	39.5380
August	42.3877	40.1099	41.6840
September	46.5453	42.2517	43.5273
October	48.3741	45.3461	46.3037
November	46.1137	41.9317	43.8299
December	42.3467	39.1803	40.6287