YEARLY HIGH
34.1167 KES
YEARLY LOW
31.6749 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
32.4321 KES

2016 PGK to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PGK to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 34.1167. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 31.6749.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4419 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.9451 to the December average rate of 32.1929, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 34.1167 was down 9.70% compared to the 2015 peak of 37.7814, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 170,584 KES
2015 Average 177,553 KES
Yearly Trough Low 158,374 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,209.31 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

34.1486
31.7070
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 32.8283, compared to 32.0358 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7926 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 32.8283
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 32.0358

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.8017 KES (High: 32.8848 / Low: 32.0831). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1839 KES (High: 32.0906 / Low: 31.9067).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.8017
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1839

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.6837 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6837

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 33.9451) against the same month in 2015 (average: 35.1350), the exchange rate shifted by -1.1899 (-3.39%).

2016 Avg (January) 33.9451
2015 Avg (January) 35.1350

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 34.1167 33.7683 33.9451
February 33.9387 33.2881 33.5402
March 33.4852 32.8249 33.1164
April 32.8848 32.0831 32.4326
May 32.5637 31.8028 31.9105
June 32.4100 31.8545 32.0253
July 32.2735 31.8306 32.0189
August 32.0906 31.9067 32.0189
September 32.0811 31.7093 31.9376
October 32.1248 31.7226 31.9697
November 32.2089 31.8863 32.0766
December 32.3863 31.6749 32.1929