YEARLY HIGH
42.2440 KES
YEARLY LOW
35.0204 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
38.7895 KES

2023 PGK to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the PGK to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 42.2440. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 35.0204.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.2237 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.1841 to the December average rate of 41.2910, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 42.2440 was up 20.40% compared to the 2022 peak of 35.0852, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 211,220 KES
2022 Average 167,203 KES
Yearly Trough Low 175,102 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 36,118.45 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

41.9017
34.5734
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.3018, compared to 40.2772 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.9754 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.3018
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 40.2772

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 1.9725 KES (High: 40.9659 / Low: 38.9934). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3348 KES (High: 35.3551 / Low: 35.0204).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.9725
January Spread (Stable) ±0.3348

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0045 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0045

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 41.2910) against the same month in 2022 (average: 34.8914), the exchange rate shifted by +6.3996 (+18.34%).

2023 Avg (December) 41.2910
2022 Avg (December) 34.8914

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 35.3551 35.0204 35.1841
February 36.0617 35.2630 35.6025
March 37.6420 36.1805 36.7896
April 38.9910 37.1768 38.1058
May 39.3040 38.4138 38.8445
June 39.9432 38.1163 39.2841
July 40.4545 39.0679 39.5976
August 40.9659 38.9934 39.7397
September 40.9240 39.6455 40.2724
October 40.6672 39.5521 40.2679
November 41.0699 39.9825 40.4944
December 42.2440 40.6015 41.2910