YEARLY HIGH
32.1415 KES
YEARLY LOW
30.0115 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
30.8258 KES

2018 PGK to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PGK to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 32.1415. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 18, dropping to 30.0115.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1299 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.9218 to the December average rate of 30.3554, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 32.1415 was down 3.00% compared to the 2017 peak of 33.1358, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 160,707 KES
2017 Average 162,091 KES
Yearly Trough Low 150,058 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,649.69 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

32.0965
30.0009
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.2526, compared to 30.3989 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8537 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.2526
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 30.3989

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.7398 KES (High: 31.8951 / Low: 31.1554). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2313 KES (High: 30.5884 / Low: 30.3571).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.7398
August Spread (Stable) ±0.2313

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3971 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3971

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 31.9218) against the same month in 2017 (average: 32.6592), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7373 (-2.26%).

2018 Avg (January) 31.9218
2017 Avg (January) 32.6592

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 32.1415 31.7442 31.9218
February 31.8951 31.1554 31.5247
March 31.7326 31.0120 31.3795
April 31.3435 30.7171 30.9942
May 31.1310 30.5225 30.8249
June 31.0979 30.5680 30.8705
July 30.7971 30.4727 30.6160
August 30.5884 30.3571 30.4249
September 30.5150 30.2608 30.3484
October 30.3929 30.0115 30.1755
November 30.6948 30.2979 30.4734
December 30.6068 30.0413 30.3554