2016 PGK to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.8698 MDL

YEARLY LOW

6.1829 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.3538 MDL

2016 PGK to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PGK to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 6.8698. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 8, dropping to 6.1829.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6868 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.7415 to the December average rate of 6.3397, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.8698 was down 4.74% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.2114, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,349 MDL

2015 Average 33,908 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 30,915 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,434.17 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.7930

6.1741

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4365, compared to 6.2711 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1653 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4365

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2711

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.3250 MDL (High: 6.8698 / Low: 6.5448). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0315 MDL (High: 6.2426 / Low: 6.2111).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3250

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0315

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1600 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1600

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 6.7415) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.4055), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3359 (+5.24%).

2016 Avg (January) 6.7415

2015 Avg (January) 6.4055

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.8698	6.5448	6.7415
February	6.7096	6.5142	6.6031
March	6.5980	6.3233	6.4514
April	6.3492	6.2569	6.2914
May	6.3991	6.2177	6.2715
June	6.3094	6.2028	6.2599
July	6.2866	6.1853	6.2487
August	6.2426	6.2111	6.2257
September	6.2553	6.1829	6.2257
October	6.3317	6.1902	6.2657
November	6.3909	6.2220	6.3214
December	6.4056	6.2555	6.3397